The 125th US Open Championship returns to the legendary Oakmont Country Club from June 12-15, 2025, promising one of the most challenging tests in professional golf. With a record $21.5 million purse and defending champion Bryson DeChambeau facing off against world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler at golf’s most demanding venue, this championship offers exceptional betting opportunities across multiple markets.
📐Tournament Format & Cut Rules🚷
The 2025 US Open follows the traditional four-round, 72-hole stroke-play format with specific cut regulations that differentiate it from regular PGA Tour events. After the second round, only the top 60 players and ties advance to weekend play, a more restrictive cut than the typical PGA Tour standard of top 65 and ties. This creates additional tension and betting value in cut-making markets.
Key Format Details:
- Field Size: 156 players
- Cut Rule: Top 60 and ties after 36 holes
- Playoff Format: Two-hole aggregate if needed
- Course: Oakmont Country Club, Par 70, 7,219 yards
The tournament’s demanding nature is reflected in Oakmont’s legendary difficulty, with course rating estimates reaching 80-82 in US Open conditions. This severity typically produces winning scores around even par to 4-under, making patience and course management paramount.
💰Prize Money Breakdown
The USGA maintains the 2025 purse at $21.5 million, with the champion earning $4.3 million—representing 20% of the total purse. The payout structure rewards excellence while providing substantial compensation through the top 70 finishers.
| Position | Prize_Money | Percentage_of_Purse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1st | $4,300,000 | 20.0% |
| 1 | 2nd | $2,322,000 | 10.8% |
| 2 | 3rd | $1,445,062 | 6.7% |
| 3 | 4th | $1,013,040 | 4.7% |
| 4 | 5th | $843,765 | 3.9% |
| 5 | 6th | $748,154 | 3.5% |
| 6 | 7th | $674,491 | 3.1% |
| 7 | 8th | $604,086 | 2.8% |
| 8 | 9th | $546,720 | 2.5% |
| 9 | 10th | $502,174 | 2.3% |
| 10 | 11th | $458,280 | 2.1% |
| 11 | 12th | $423,729 | 2.0% |
| 12 | 13th | $394,829 | 1.8% |
| 13 | 14th | $364,407 | 1.7% |
| 14 | 15th | $338,332 | 1.6% |
| 15 | 16th | $316,602 | 1.5% |
| 16 | 17th | $299,218 | 1.4% |
| 17 | 18th | $281,834 | 1.3% |
| 18 | 19th | $264,450 | 1.2% |
| 19 | 20th | $247,067 | 1.1% |
Players who miss the cut receive $10,000, while those making the weekend but finishing outside the top 60 earn meaningful compensation, with 50th place receiving $49,761.
📊Current Betting Favorites & Analysis
The betting market reflects the current world rankings and recent form, with Scottie Scheffler leading the board at +275 following his dominant 2025 season that includes a successful title defense at the Memorial Tournament.
| Player | Win_Odds | Country | World_Ranking | Recent_Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Scottie Scheffler | +275 | USA | 1 | Won Memorial Tournament 2025 |
| 1 | Bryson DeChambeau | +750 | USA | 10 | Defending US Open Champion |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | +1200 | Northern Ireland | 2 | Runner-up 2024 US Open |
| 3 | Jon Rahm | +1200 | Spain | 7 | 2021 US Open Champion |
| 4 | Xander Schauffele | +2200 | USA | 3 | 2-time Major Winner 2024 |
| 5 | Collin Morikawa | +2500 | USA | 4 | 2-time Major Winner |
| 6 | Joaquin Niemann | +3000 | Chile | 40 | 4 LIV wins in 2025 |
| 7 | Ludvig Åberg | +3000 | Sweden | 6 | Rising star, multiple wins |
| 8 | Tommy Fleetwood | +4000 | England | 12 | Consistent major performer |
| 9 | Shane Lowry | +4500 | Ireland | 18 | 2019 Open Championship winner |
| 10 | Justin Thomas | +5000 | USA | 15 | 2-time Major Winner |
| 11 | Sepp Straka | +5000 | Austria | 20 | Multiple PGA Tour wins |
| 12 | Patrick Cantlay | +5500 | USA | 8 | Consistent top performer |
🏌️Best Bets: Outright Winner
Primary Recommendation: Scottie Scheffler (+280)❌
The world No. 1’s recent Memorial Tournament victory demonstrates his current form and ability to handle pressure. His methodical approach and exceptional iron play suit Oakmont’s demands. While the odds offer limited value, Scheffler’s consistency in majors makes him the safest choice.
Value Pick: Collin Morikawa (+2500)❌
Multiple experts recommend Morikawa as an exceptional value play. His precision iron play and course management skills align perfectly with Oakmont’s requirements. The two-time major winner has shown renewed form and represents excellent value at 25/1.
Longshot Special: Joaquin Niemann (+3000)❌
The Chilean sensation has won four of eight LIV events in 2025, demonstrating exceptional current form. His first career major top-10 at the PGA Championship shows he’s ready for the big stage. At 30/1, Niemann offers significant upside.
5️⃣Top 5 Finish Betting Recommendations
Best Bets for Top 5:
- Scottie Scheffler (-155) ❌- Near certainty given current form
- Rory McIlroy (+260) ❌- Seeks redemption after 2024 near-miss
- Xander Schauffele (+400)❌ – Major championship experience and consistent ball-striking
- Jon Rahm (+240) ❌- Former US Open champion with excellent Oakmont credentials
- Collin Morikawa (+450)❌- Premium iron play suits Oakmont’s demands
🔟Top 10 Finish Value Plays
Expert recommendations focus on players with course-management skills and major championship experience:
Recommended Top 10 Bets:
- Rory McIlroy (+130) ❌- Excellent value given his consistent major performance
- Maverick McNealy (+650)❌ – Emerging talent with strong iron play
- Corey Conners (+400) ❌- Ball-striking specialist ideal for Oakmont
- Tommy Fleetwood (+250) ❌- Consistent major performer with precision game
- Shane Lowry (+330) ❌- Major champion with links-style course management
🔝Top 20 Finish Opportunities
The Top 20 market offers broader coverage for players who might struggle early but find their rhythm:
Recommended Top 20 Bets:
- Justin Thomas (+130)❌ – Excellent value for two-time major winner
- Keegan Bradley (+230)❌ – Strong ball-striker with major experience
- Patrick Cantlay (+150) ❌- Methodical approach suits US Open conditions
- Sepp Straka (+125) ❌ Rising European talent with multiple PGA Tour victories
- Tyrrell Hatton (+180)✅✅ – Fiery competitor with excellent recent form
🎯Prop Betting Markets & Recommendations
First-Round Leader Bets
The opening round at Oakmont typically features cautious play, making aggressive players attractive for early leads:
Bryson DeChambeau (+1800) ❌- Defending champion’s power game could create early advantage despite course difficulty.
Nationality Props
With 14 LIV Golf players in the field including strong international representation, nationality markets offer value:
- Top European Player – Ludvig Aberg (+1000)❌
- Top Nordic Player – Ludvig Aberg (+180)❌
- Top UK & Ireland Player – Tommy Fleetwood (+500)❌
- Top Japanese – Hideki Matsuyama (-125)✅
- Top Danish -Thorbjorn Olesen (+190)❌
- Top African Player – Christian Bezuidenhout (+180)✅✅
Cut-Making Props
Oakmont’s severity makes cut props particularly valuable, especially for players with inconsistent recent form but strong course-management skills.
Head-to-Head Matchup Recommendations
Expert analysis identifies key matchup opportunities based on current form and course fit:
Justin Thomas (-120) vs Tyrrell Hatton❌
Thomas’s major championship experience and methodical approach provide edge over the sometimes erratic Hatton, despite the Englishman’s recent good form.
Brooks Koepka (+100) vs Tony Finau✅
Koepka’s major championship pedigree and previous Oakmont experience outweigh his recent struggles. The pick-em odds offer excellent value.
Additional Matchup Considerations:
- Scheffler vs Field – Often available with enhanced odds during major weeks
- McIlroy vs Schauffele – Two consistent performers with different playing styles
- Young Guns vs Veterans – Åberg/Hovland vs experienced major champions
LIV Golf Contingent Analysis
Fourteen LIV Golf players comprise a significant portion of the field, led by defending champion DeChambeau and red-hot Niemann. Their recent form varies dramatically:
Top LIV Contenders:
- Bryson DeChambeau – Defending champion with major momentum
- Joaquin Niemann – Four 2025 victories demonstrate exceptional form
- Jon Rahm – Former US Open winner seeking second major since LIV move
Fading Candidates:
- Phil Mickelson – Age and recent form suggest difficult weekend
- Cameron Smith – Poor major form since 2024 Masters
- Dustin Johnson – Despite 2016 Oakmont victory, current form concerning
Advanced Betting Strategies
Course History Considerations
Oakmont has hosted nine previous US Opens, with winning scores typically between even par and 4-under. Players with links-style course management and precision iron play historically perform well.
Here last 5 years US Open stats provided by Nate
Weather Impact
Pennsylvania’s June weather can significantly impact scoring. Monitor forecasts for wind and rain, which could favor different playing styles and create live betting opportunities.
Tournament Progression Betting
Oakmont’s difficulty often creates separation after poor opening rounds. Consider live betting on players who start slowly but show resilience, as weekend charges become more valuable.
Final Recommendations Summary
Outright Winner:
- Primary: Scottie Scheffler (+275)❌
- Value: Collin Morikawa (+2500)❌
- Longshot: Joaquin Niemann (+3000)❌
Prop Bets:
- First-Round Leader: Bryson DeChambeau (+1800)❌
The 2025 US Open at Oakmont promises to reward precision, patience, and mental fortitude. While Scheffler leads the market for good reason, value exists throughout the card for bettors willing to identify players whose skills match the championship’s unique demands. The combination of Oakmont’s legendary difficulty and the strongest field in professional golf creates exceptional opportunities across all betting markets.
All odds referenced are from leading sportsbooks as of June 11, 2025. Betting markets remain fluid through tournament week.
