Atlas vs. Necaxa Best Bets: Can the Visitors Upset the Odds in Liga MX Match?

Atlas will host Necaxa in a compelling Liga MX clash on February 19, 2025, at Estadio Jalisco. With both teams displaying moments of brilliance in recent matches, this fixture is expected to be a tightly contested battle.

Match Preview

Atlas enters as the slight favorite with odds of 2.25, but Necaxa’s recent form suggests they are more than capable of causing problems. A draw is priced at 3.48, while a Necaxa win stands at 3.00. Our AI model favors a double chance bet on Necaxa or Draw (X2) at 1.62, albeit with a moderate confidence level of 2.0.

Recent Form & Key Insights

Atlas won their last match, 3-2 over weak Puebla. On the other hand, Necaxa delivered a shocking 3-2 away victory over Club América, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. Notably, Necaxa also won the last head-to-head meeting 2-1, reinforcing the notion that they could take points from this matchup.

Goal Expectations

Our AI strongly supports a bet on Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a confidence rating of 5.5/10. Liga MX data backs this up, with 68.7% of matches featuring at least two goals. However, the Over 2.5 goals market is riskier, as only 45.9% of games surpass this threshold.

Expected Match Dynamics

• Possession: Atlas is expected to control the ball more (54%)
• Shots: Necaxa is projected to create 16 shots, while Atlas should have 13
• Shots on Target: Atlas (4), Necaxa (5), indicating a well-matched contest

Score Predictions

• Final Score: 1-2 Necaxa
• Half-Time Score: 0-1 Necaxa

Conclusion

Although Atlas holds the home advantage, Necaxa’s superior squad value and recent performances give them an edge. Backing Necaxa or Draw (X2) at 1.62 presents solid value, while Over 2.5 goals at 1.87 is a safer option, supported by Liga MX scoring trends.

Best Bets

SOCCER STATISTICS