In the second leg of the UEFA Champions League knockout phase, SL Benfica will host AS Monaco at Estádio da Luz on Tuesday, February 18, 2025. Benfica secured a 1-0 victory in the first leg at Stade Louis II, thanks to a goal from Vangelis Pavlidis. Both teams are grappling with significant injuries and suspensions, which could influence the match’s dynamics.

First Half Outcome Prediction

Given the high stakes and the injury concerns affecting both squads, a cautious approach is anticipated in the first half. Benfica, aiming to protect their aggregate lead, may prioritize defensive solidity, while Monaco will likely probe for opportunities without overcommitting. A 0-0 scoreline at halftime appears probable.

Full Match Outcome and Total Goals

Considering Benfica’s home advantage and recent form, they are favored to win this encounter. However, with both teams missing key players, the match may not be high-scoring. A total of under 2.5 goals is a reasonable expectation.

Most Probable Final Exact Score

Taking into account the current circumstances, a 1-0 victory for Benfica seems the most likely outcome. This would mirror the first leg’s result and reflect both teams’ defensive priorities.

Best Bets

  • Benfica to Win (-115): Benfica’s strong home record and current form make them favorites. Odds are approximately -115. sportsline.com
  • Under 3.5 Total Goals at (-140): Given the injury-induced offensive limitations, a low-scoring match is anticipated.

Best Proposition Bets

  • Vangelis Pavlidis to Score Anytime (+110): Pavlidis has been in fine form, netting the decisive goal in the first leg. Backing him to score again offers value. sportytrader.com
  • Both Teams to Score – No (+160): With Benfica’s defensive focus and Monaco’s injury woes, it’s plausible that only one team will find the net.

Trends

  • Benfica’s Dominance: Benfica has won all four of their previous encounters against AS Monaco in European competitions.
  • Monaco’s Away Struggles: Monaco has lost four of their last five away matches in the Champions League.

In summary, despite injury challenges, Benfica’s home advantage and superior form position them well to advance to the next round, likely through a narrow victory over AS Monaco.

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