The final matchday of the 2024/2025 Ligue 1 season is upon us, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. On Saturday, May 16, 2025, nine exhilarating clashes will determine European qualification, relegation fates, and individual accolades.
With PSG already crowned champions and Montpellier facing the drop, the focus shifts to the battles for Champions League spots, Europa League berths, and survival. Below, we analyze each match, highlighting the BEST BETS for the first half and full game, intelligent prop bets, and the most probable outcomes. Let’s dive into the action!
Lens vs Monaco
Lens, sitting mid-table, have been inconsistent at home, conceding in their last five games. Monaco, vying for a Champions League spot, boast the league’s best unbeaten run and a potent attack led by young stars. Expect Monaco to exploit Lens’ defensive frailties early, but Lens could nick a goal late in a spirited effort.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: MONACO TO SCORE OVER 0.5 GOALS (-130)
Monaco’s attacking prowess should see them threaten early against a leaky Lens defense. - BEST BET: MONACO TO WIN (+120)
Monaco’s form and motivation for a top-three finish make them the smarter pick.
Lille vs Reims
Lille, chasing a Europa League spot, face a Reims side enduring a 15-game winless streak, the worst in Ligue 1. At Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille’s attacking duo, led by Jonathan David, should dominate a Reims team that’s failed to score in their last three outings. Reims’ desperation might yield a late consolation.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: LILLE TO LEAD at Halftime (-130)
Lille’s home form and Reims’ struggles suggest an early advantage for Les Dogues. - BEST BET: LILLE -1.5 Handicap (+110)
Reims’ abysmal run makes Lille a near-certainty at home.
Lyon vs Angers
Lyon, with slim hopes of a Conference League spot, host relegation-threatened Angers. Lyon’s defense has been porous, conceding in their last eight games, but their attacking firepower should overwhelm Angers, who’ve struggled on the road. Angers may keep it tight early but lack the quality to hold on.
- BEST BET: Over 3.5 Goals (-110)
Lyon’s offense seriously dropped their goal production in recent matches, but they need 3 points here in order to have some chances for European Cups competition. This is Lyon’s must win, last game of the season, their games often feature goals, and Angers’ defense is vulnerable. We are expecting big show by Lyon. - BEST BET: Lyon -2 Handicap (-140)
Marseille vs Rennes
Marseille, already clinched group phase of Champions League, welcome Rennes to the Stade Velodrome, where they’ve won six of their last seven home games. Rennes have been shaky on the road, losing their last two, but their attacking flair could test Marseille’s defense, which has conceded in nine straight games.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (+160)
Both sides have shown early attacking intent in recent matches. - BEST BET: Marseille -1 Handicap (+110)
- BEST BET: OVER 3 (-135)
Marseille’s home dominance gives them the edge in a tight contest. - Prop Bet: Mason Greenwood to Score Anytime (-105)
Greenwood’s form makes him a key player to watch.
Nantes vs Montpellier
Nantes, flirting with the relegation playoff spot, face rock-bottom Montpellier, who’ve lost 13 of their last 14 games. Nantes’ home form is decent, and they should capitalize on Montpellier’s inability to keep clean sheets. Expect a low-scoring affair as both teams struggle for fluency. Nantes hanging in last safe 15th spot in the table, so if they don’t win, but Le Havre somehow win in Strasbourg, Nantes would be relegated. Nantes MUST WIN or at least get the point to be safe. Nantes haven’t won any of their last 5 games, but already relegated worse team in Ligue 1 this season Montpelier, haven’t won in last 15 games.
- BEST BET: UNDER 2.5 Goals (-105)
Montpellier’s dismal form makes Nantes the clear favorite. - Prop Bet: Nantes to Win to Nil (+150)
Montpellier’s scoring woes suggest Nantes could keep a clean sheet. - Prop Bet: Both Teams To Score NO (-125)
- Prop Bet: OVER 9.5 Total Corners (-120)
- Prop Bet: CORRECT SCORE Nantes 1-0 Montpellier (+550)
Nice vs Brest
Nice, sitting currently on 4th spot which is giving them Qualification to UEFA Champions League, and they host Brest, who’ve been maybe demotivated a bit, but still solid on the road and scored in their last seven games. Nice’s home games often see both teams score, but Brest’s defensive resilience could frustrate them. This is a must win for Nice, because they are even on 57 points with Lille. Lille’s victory over Stade Reims is more than probable, so in order to keep 4th premium spot, Nice must win. Ambitious Brest team doesn’t have any chances for European Cups this year, so their motivation is very low, plus their injured players list is little longer than Nice.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: OVER 1.5 Goals (+125)
Both teams are likely to probe cautiously in the opening 45 minutes. - BEST BET: Nice -1 (-125)
Stake is too high, Nice likely will go for insurance goal. - Prop Bet: OVER 3 Goals (+105)
Recent head-to-heads have been low-scoring, averaging three goals in five games.
Paris SG vs Auxerre
PSG, celebrating their third consecutive title, face promoted Auxerre, who’ve exceeded expectations but are no match for the Parisians’ firepower. PSG’s games often see both teams score, and Auxerre’s recent scoring run suggests they could grab a consolation in a high-scoring defeat.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: OVER 1.5 GOALS (-145)
PSG’s relentless attack should overwhelm Auxerre early. - BEST BET: PSG -2.5 Handicap (+100)
PSG’s dominance makes this a foregone conclusion, this should be last good shooting practice for them ahead of UEFA Champion League Final. - Prop Bet: Total OVER 4 Goals in Match (-105)
Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse
Saint-Etienne, desperate to avoid automatic relegation, host Toulouse, who are safe in mid-table. Les Verts’ recent home wins give them hope, but Toulouse’s counter-attacking threat could exploit their shaky defense, which has conceded in 13 straight games. A tight, nervy match awaits. In recent hours money line moved against home team, which make things even more interesting, but we like Saint-Etienne here.
- BEST BET: Saint-Etienne to Win (+120)
- Prop Bet: OVER 9.5 CORNERS (-120)
- Prop Bet: CORRECT SCORE Saint-Etienne 2-1 Toulouse (+800)
Strasbourg vs Le Havre
Strasbourg, is over motivated for this game, face Le Havre, who are battling to avoid the relegation playoff. Strasbourg’s home form is strong, and Le Havre’s nine losses with both teams scoring this season point to an open game. Strasbourg should edge it with their attacking quality.
- BEST BET FOR 1ST HALF: STRASBOURG TO SCORE OVER 0.5 GOALS (-120)
Strasbourg’s home attack should test Le Havre’s fragile defense early. - BEST BET: STRASBOURG -1 (-140)
Strasbourg’s consistency at home makes them the safer bet.
BEST BET: STRASBOURG -1.5 (+110) - Prop Bet: Over 3 Goals (-125)
Le Havre’s defensive issues and Strasbourg’s flair suggest a goal-heavy game.
Conclusion
Ligue 1’s final day promises drama, goals, and heartbreak. From Monaco’s push for Champions League glory to Saint-Etienne’s relegation scrap, every match offers betting value. Our BEST BETS lean on form, stats, and motivation, with prop bets highlighting key players like Dembélé and Greenwood. Place your wagers wisely, and enjoy the Ligue 1 finale.
