The Wednesday, July 9, 2025 MLB slate features 15 games with exceptional betting opportunities across multiple markets. After analyzing expert picks, advanced metrics, and betting trends from top handicappers, here are the most promising and intelligent bets for today’s action.
BEST MONEY LINE BETS
Seattle Mariners (+130) vs. New York Yankees ❌
Excellent value with the Mariners as road underdogs at +130. Logan Evans (2.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) provides Seattle with a quality start against the Yankees’ Cam Schlittler, who is making his MLB debut.
Los Angeles Angels ML (+104) ✅
BEST RUN LINE BETS
Boston Red Sox First 5 Innings -1.5 (-110) vs. Colorado Rockies ✅
The Red Sox first-five-innings alternate run line. Lucas Giolito (3.66 ERA, 1.28 WHIP) has a significant advantage over Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela (6.57 ERA, 1.90 WHIP), who ranks last among today’s starting pitchers.
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 Run Line (+155) ❌
Kansas City Royals -1.5 Run Line (+115) ❌
↕️BEST GAME TOTAL BETS
Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees OVER 9.5 (-120) ✅
Atlanta Braves at Athletics OVER 10.5 (-120) ✅
BEST TEAM TOTAL BETS
Chicago Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-115) ❌
The Cubs lead MLB with 5.42 runs per game (5.47 on the road) and have exceeded 4.5 runs in 47 of 91 games. They face David Festa (5.48 ERA, 4.66 xERA) who allows 1.48 home runs per nine innings. Chicago’s active roster boasts a .457 SLG (third), .341 wOBA (fifth), and 121 wRC+ (fourth) versus right-handed pitching.
Pittsburgh Pirates Under 3.5 Runs (-115) ✅
Pittsburgh averages a league-worst 3.40 runs per game (2.87 on the road) and has scored under 3.5 runs in 60.2% of games (71.7% on the road). They face All-Star Kris Bubic (2.36 ERA, 25.6% strikeout rate, 0.52 HR/9) and a Kansas City bullpen that ranks 10th in ERA (3.43) at home..
BEST NRFI (No Run in First Inning)
Pittsburgh Pirates at Kansas City Royals – Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-113) ✅
Kris Bubic (3.07 xERA, 25.6% strikeout rate, 7.7% walk rate) has converted NRFI in 14 of 17 starts against a Pittsburgh team ranking 25th in YRFI rate (25.8%) and 30th in wRC+ (71) versus left-handed pitching. Bailey Falter has produced scoreless first innings in 12 of 18 starts against a Kansas City offense with a 30.1% YRFI rate and 0.44 first-inning runs per game.
Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros – Under 0.5 First Inning Runs (-115) ❌
Cleveland ranks 30th in YRFI rate (22.2%) while Houston is 29th (22.8%). Brandon Walter (3.07 xERA, 27.8% strikeout rate first time through order) has allowed first-inning runs in only one of six starts. Slade Cecconi has recorded NRFI in seven of nine outings with a 3.02 xFIP and 32.1% strikeout rate first time through the order.
BEST PITCHER PROPS
Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox) Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135) ✅
Giolito has a 24.3% strikeout rate against lefties but only 18% against righties. Colorado’s lineup features six right-handed batters, and the Rockies offense has taken the fourth-fewest called strikes in MLB, limiting Giolito’s strikeout potential.
Andre Pallante (St. Louis Cardinals) Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+135) ❌
Pallante has faced 23 or fewer batters in four consecutive starts, hasn’t thrown more than 94 pitches since June, and a rested Cardinals bullpen limits his extension into the sixth inning.
BEST PLAYER PROPS
Vinnie Pasquantino (Kansas City Royals) Over 0.5 RBIs (+144) ❌
Kansas City faces Pittsburgh’s Bailey Falter, who has struggled with runners in scoring position.
BEST HOME RUN PROPS
Aaron Judge (NY Yankees) Home Run (+285) ❌
Aaron Judge among their top home run predictions. Facing Seattle’s Logan Evans in his first MLB start, Judge has excellent power numbers at Yankee Stadium.
2️⃣BEST 2-LEG PARLAY OF THE DAY (+216)
St. Louis Cardinals ML -138 ❌
Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees OVER 9.5 (-120) ✅
1 UNIT Play Estimated Combined Odds: $100 bet potential win $216 ❌
3️⃣BEST 3-LEG PARLAY OF THE DAY (+508)
Atlanta Braves at Athletics OVER 10.5 (-120) ✅
St. Louis Cardinals ML -138 ❌
Minnesota Twins ML (-108) ✅
1 UNIT Play Estimated Combined Odds: $100 bet potential win $508
